Hurricane Isaias: What to expect in Brevard County

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Hurricane Isaias is barreling toward Florida and could become a Category 2 storm before all is said and done.

For Brevard County, that means we could start seeing conditions deteriorate Saturday night, according to data released by the National Hurricane Center at 5 a.m. Friday.

More: Update: Hurricane Isaias forecast to become Category 2 storm; east coast of Florida in forecast path

The storm could start impacting the peninsula around Miami Saturday morning, working its way up the coast and arriving with strong winds in Brevard County around 8 p.m.

Brevard County is 72 miles long — the longest county in the state — so impacts will be seen in the south area earlier than other areas.

As of the Friday 5 a.m. advisory, Brevard County did not have tropical storm force wind advisories. However, the advisory extended right up to the Indian River/Brevard County line at Sebastian Inlet.

The latest advisory showed the storm maintaining 80 mph sustained winds. A Category 1 storm is classified as having winds between 74-95 mph. A Category 2 storm has sustained winds between 96-110 mph.

Winds are forecast to reach 100 mph by Saturday.

The latest models have the eye staying east of Florida as it moves northward. The eye is forecast to be just off the Brevard County coast around 2 p.m. Sunday.

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We will be updating this throughout the day as new data is released.

Brevard County has not been hit by hurricane-force sustained winds in 40 years, according to information obtained by FLORIDA TODAY in 2019 from the Brevard County Emergency Management office.

That’s when Hurricane David struck on Labor Day in 1979.

More: Note to FLORIDA TODAY readers about possible delivery delays due to Hurricane Isaias

More: Brevard County taking special steps for hurricane shelters, emergency management in time of COVID-19

Since David, four decades of subsequent cyclones generated only tropical storm-force sustained winds within county borders. Tropical storm winds range from 39 to 73 mph. Hurricane winds are 74 mph and greater.

That’s not to say Brevard County has not had hurricane-force gusts, but nothing sustained since the Jimmy Carter administration.

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